Violent Crime at 42 Year Low

The Obama administration and his cast of gun-grabbing suspects sat suspiciously silent as the FBI’s national crime report for 2012 was released.

The report shows that violent crime nationwide is down by 49% from 1991, when it was at a record high. The report also shows us that violent crime hasn’t been this low since 1970.

In 1970 there were 203 million people living in the United States according to Census data. In 2013 the Census Bureau estimates the U.S. population to be at 316 million, over 100 million more citizens than in 1970. As the population has grown, gun ownership has soared with roughly 300 million guns in circulation in 2013 — nearly 1 for every American citizen. It’s estimated that roughly 45% of Americans own at least one firearm, however this data is based on polls and rough estimates. Keep in mind that only around 41% of gun owners will admit to owning firearms in polls, so these estimates are likely low. There’s a good chance that well over 50% of American homes have firearms in them.

…yet much to the angst of gun-grabbers, the crime rate continues to plummet.

Gun-grabbing politicians want you to believe — no, they NEED you to believe — that guns in the hands of American citizens translate into uncontrolled violent crime. However, we have 42 years of government supplied data (not just from the FBI report) to confirm that more guns in the hands of citizens reduces violent crime across the board. The data isn’t an anomaly or some accounting trick used to sway the numbers in support gun ownership — they are cold hard facts that eviscerate the gun-grabbers arguments. This is why Obama and his cronies remain silent. It doesn’t serve their disarmament agenda which is why they hope to quietly gloss over the new report.

Remember folks, gun control isn’t about reducing crime — it’s about controlling the population. If gun-grabbers wanted to “save the children” as they claim, they would stop with their endless gun-grabs and promote responsible gun ownership.

But then gun control has never been, nor will it ever be, about saving lives…

 

MAC

MAC is an avid shooter, former MCSF Marine, NRA member, Oath Keeper and is commissioned as a Colonel by the Governor of Kentucky. Known for his videos on the Military Arms Channel, he also writes for The Bang Switch, for Shotgun News (Be Ready!) and freelances for Guns & Ammo. MAC has been a life long shooter who has an interest in all things that go "bang" but gravitates towards military type firearms.

More Posts - Website

Follow Me:
TwitterFacebookGoogle PlusYouTube

  • Lee

    This is what I love to hear. Just goes to show that you cannot argue with cold, hard, facts. But it’s still unfortunate that there a still people out there that remain thick-headed about the whole thing. Great article.

  • MattW

    The FBI press release linked is for the 2011 report. Do you have a link for the 2012 report?

    • http://www.military-arms.com MAC

      Fixed.

      • MattW

        Excellent, thank you sir!

  • jimmy watts

    funny, they want to pass laws to restrict guns owners ability to own and carry guns. yet, they are steadfast for abortions. hmmmm, wouldn’t that save many children’s lives?

    • Michael

      People who support abortion don’t believe the unborn child is alive yet, so according to their definition, no.

      • Kevin

        The key word there is “their”. “they’ have some weird thoughts running through the area which would be a brain.

        • Rational Skeptic

          Y’got that right. Meanwhile (in church), people continue to follow myths and legends based on stories of stories of stories of events that happened thousands of years ago… No weird thoughts there!

  • https://www.facebook.com/richard.turner.357 Richard Turner

    Whenever I bring reports like this up, some of my relatives will not hear it. they will rage and argue about how dangerous guns are and how they are the downfall of society. sometimes you just can’t argue with stupid. pointing out facts and how some reports don’t mention that ‘gun deaths’ include things like suicide, accidents, and legitimate police/private citizen self defence does nothing to keep them from holding onto their position with white knuckles. people need to educate themselves on topics thoroughly and not just take the media’s word on issues.

    • Andy

      Well, I think most people who are for gun control measures account for things like suicide and accidents as things they would like to prevent…just throwing that out there for ya.

    • Jon

      The definition of violent crime (if you checked and read the FBI website) doesn’t relate to guns or weapons in the statistics. In saying violent crime is down… it doesn’t necessarilly mean that crimes involving weapons (guns, knives, etc.) are down. “n the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses which involve force or threat of force.”

      Also, in your arguement… i think many people who believe in gun control probably want to stop deaths via suicide and accidents as well as murders… just throwing that one out there, thought it was obvious.

    • Rational Skeptic

      “sometimes you just can’t argue with stupid.”
      There’s your prob right there, bro. You see yourself in an argument with “stupid” people, so what do you expect. Try something like just talking (not arguing) with people you respect (as opposed to “stupid” ones)… Maybe you can instruct others on the ways you came to be such an intelligent, insightful, critically-thinking individual instead of doggin’ them for being stupid.

  • John

    Just like Canada gun crime is at its lowest point since about the 1950′s or 60′s and after the Long-Gun registry was abolished 15 Feb 2012 the anti-gunners cried out there will be blood in the streets well I see no blood on the streets just a bunch of defeated anti’s for now.

    Cheers

  • g

    “Gun-grabbing politicians want you to believe — no, they NEED you to believe — that guns in the hands of American citizens translate into uncontrolled violent crime. However, we have 42 years of government supplied data to confirm that more guns in the hands of citizens reduces violent crime across the board. The data isn’t an anomaly or some accounting trick used to sway the numbers in support gun ownership — they are cold hard facts that eviscerate the gun-grabbers arguments. ”

    Yep. Well said, sir!

  • Midwest Moderate Parent

    There have been two other interesting notes from mainstream media that are promising. Yesterday there was an AP article stating that the average for mass killings over the past 30 years has remained flat (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/28/safer-world_n_4009112.html) and a 60 Minutes piece yesterday that stated at least half of the recent killers had known mental health issues but were untreated due to flaws in the system (http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-18560_162-57605146/mental-illness-%20main-factor-in-mass-shootings/). Both were well done.

    It has taken time, but the evidence is clearly indicating that guns are not the problem – they are just tools. The root causes are primarily mental health issues and gang related violence. Personally, I feel it is incumbent on all gun owners to understand this and be able to explain it to others so that these inconvenient facts don’t get swept under the rug by anti-gun politicians, groups, and media.

  • Josh B

    I always do love me some actual facts. Now if the anti-gunners and those that follow them blindly would actually do some research and stop making up shit, the country would be a much better place.

  • Adolf bin Streisand

    Correlation does not mean causation.

  • E. Sanchez

    I’m sure that the anti-gun folks will have spin doctors, anchormen, bards, nanny’s and kindergarten teachers hard at work selling more fairy tails shortly. Via TV and other outlets, they’ll likely try to take full or majority credit for the decline in violent crimes by using more inaccurate information, faked statistics or outright lies. Hard facts just seem to roll off the backs of those poor dimwitted gun control fools.

    • Rational Skeptic

      “I’m sure that the anti-gun folks will have spin doctors, anchormen, bards, nanny’s and kindergarten teachers hard at work selling more fairy tails shortly”

      Seriously, yo. THANKFULLY, pro-gun folks (or anyone other than libtard Socialists) would never, ever, EVER use spin to frame an issue. You’d think that the perfect decorum and lack of underhanded methods (not to mention eschewing rhetoric) employed by Your Side would influence people on the Wrong Side to behave and stop freaking out. Sheesh, it must be hard for you being the Smartest Person In The Room.

  • beefeater

    “we have 42 years of government supplied data to confirm that more guns in the hands of citizens reduces violent crime across the board”

    I have to disagree with this. While the data is definitely useful in arguing against the idea that guns cause crime, this does not link increased ownership with a reduction in crime. Remember, correlation is not causation. The best way to reduce violent crime has nothing to do with guns, and everything to do with poverty, education, and mental healthcare.

    Still, this won’t stop some of the ridiculous laws that gun control advocates try to pass. They have seen the data from past years that has been showing a decline in crime, yet they still continue.

    • Michael

      Thank you. We need to make sure we’re intellectually honest when we look at things like this, lest we lose the high ground to gun control proponents. To some extent, we have test and control groups, in that varying parts of the country have varying levels of gun control, and so causality might be determined that way, but the results are too mixed in that regard.

      Yes, Chicago has horrible violent crime rates and tight gun control, but New Orleans also has horrible violent crime rates, and they have very lax gun control. The truth is that violence is predicted better by socioeconomic status than by gun control laws or gun ownership figures.

      The reality is that people who commit violent crime are, by and large, poor people in urban settings. But because poor people in urban settings are disproportionately black, bringing this fact to light will get a person branded a racist in very short order. Unless and until the ridiculous hypersensitivity to perceived racism is toned down (maybe after Sharpton and Jackson kick the bucket), we’ll never be able to have an honest conversation about (gun) violence.

    • http://www.military-arms.com MAC

      The report doesn’t say more guns = less crime as it’s not the reports place to say something like that. However, if you look at the data in the report and use it with other data showing gun sales and general gun ownership it does in fact confirm that more guns in the hands of citizens does in fact reduce crime. We also have all the concealed carried statistics I’ve not mentioned.

      Read John Lott’s book, “More Guns,Less Crime”.

      So I disagree with your disagreement. :)

      http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2012/10/correlation_does_not_imply_causation_how_the_internet_fell_in_love_with_a_stats_class_clich_.html

    • http://www.military-arms.com MAC

      I would also disagree that poverty, education and health care are the primary drivers of crime prevention. We also know for a fact that Florida was experiencing its worst violent crime wave in decades during the 1980′s. As a result they passed the state’s first concealed carry law thereby allowing citizens to defend themselves from criminals. Immediately they saw a massive reduction in violent crime. It was the overwhelming evidence of Florida’s experience that drove the CCW push across the nation to where now we have all 50 states with some form of a CCW law.

  • Seth

    Hey mac, i love to hear this kind of thing, but that statement on the website only has a 5 year trend, and it says violent crime increased slightly from 2011 to 2012

  • LeftThumb

    I agree that correlation does not equal causation, however, since we are talking about gun control laws, the burden of proof is to prove that a new gun control law will cause lower crime. I have yet to see a control study showing a before and after of a gun ban/law that showed a lower rate of crime due to the institution of a law. All the reputable studies I’ve seen show no effect. At the same time I’m happy to hear a valid argument. Unfortunately nearly all pro-gun arguments are emotionally based and have little to no unbiased research or spun statistics to back them up.

    • LeftThumb

      Sorry need to edit this. Strike the previous.

      I agree that correlation does not equal causation, however, since we are talking about gun control laws, the burden of proof is to prove that a new gun control law will cause lower crime. I have yet to see a control study showing a before and after of a gun ban/law that showed a lower rate of crime due to the institution of a law. All the reputable studies I’ve seen show no effect. At the same time I’m happy to hear a valid argument. Unfortunately nearly all pro-gun control arguments are emotionally based and have little to no unbiased research or use spun statistics to back them up.

  • Drmaudio

    MAC, the points in your article are clearly correct, however, it is not facts that matter, it is public perception. Facts only matter in so much as they can be used to sway public perception. Obama has recently released taxpayer money to fund gun “research” which will be exclusively by anti gun organizations. Combine that with emotion over the corpses they parade around, and we have our work cut out for us.

    We need to keep the truth out there, and take the media to task for every inaccurate, anti-gun meme they spout.

  • 33AD

    If it was about saving lives, they would ban swimming pools, bicycles, etc.

    Agree 100% – it’s about the hesitation to force an agenda in the face of an armed citizenry.

  • Brian in MN

    Sad that they have nothing to say about race.

    Correlation does not equal causation. You could just as easily say that fewer people smoke today as compared to 1970 and that has “caused” the drop in violence. What you can say is that more firearms in private hands absolutely did NOT cause an increase in violence.

    • http://www.military-arms.com MAC

      We know for a fact that increased firearms ownership, specifically concealed carry, does in fact lower crime rates. It’s been proven in most states since their passage of a CCW law, which is why we now have all 50 states with such laws on the books.

      Florida blazed this trail in the 1980′s when they were experiencing a record high crime rate. Desperate to do something to combat the issue, they passed the states first concealed carry law. The crime rate plummeted the first year. It continued to drop the year after, and the year after that. It proved unequivocally that more guns in the hands of citizens did in fact reduce crime (read John Lotts book “More Guns, Less Crime”). This was the impetus behind the national move to pass CCW laws nationwide, which is now complete. Not surprisingly, we’re now experiencing the lowest violent crime rate since the 1970′s.

      Coincidence? I think not. We have ample evidence that guns in the hands of citizens did in fact contribute heavily to the reduction of violent crime nationwide.

  • Jon

    “the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses which involve force or threat of force.”

    There is the definition for violent crime… that doesn’t have anything to do with weapons in its definition so saying that violent crime is down doesn’t necesarilly mean that crimes involving weapons are down. if you actually search the website you can find the facts on that if you want. or you can just believe this misleading article. up to you :)

    • Jon

      In fact, if you see that violent crime in general is going down while things such as homicide via firearms remains fairly steady (while at a slight decline), just goes to show that at least in the past few years, the percentage of violent crimes involving a firearm is staying the same. Just another tidbit.

    • http://www.military-arms.com MAC

      Jon, you’re reading things that aren’t there.

      No where in this article do I postulate that the FBI report suggests a reduction in the use of firearms in crime.

      I suspect you’re a gun-grabber that’s stumbled upon our little firearms community. Your tactic of creating strawmen only to knock them down in a failed effort to discredit others is a time honored tradition for your kind.

  • Pingback: Prepper News Watch for October 1, 2013 | The Preparedness Podcast